What is the difference between hedge ratio and optimal hedge ratio?
The basic hedge ratio is a descriptive measure (how much is hedged). The optimal hedge ratio is prescriptive (how much should be hedged to minimise variance), calculated using correlation and volatility.
Can the hedge ratio exceed 1.0?
Yes. A ratio above 1.0 means the hedge is larger than the position (over-hedged), which introduces speculative risk in the opposite direction.
Is a hedge ratio of 1.0 always best?
Not necessarily. If the hedge instrument is imperfectly correlated with the position, a 1:1 hedge can actually increase variance. The optimal hedge ratio accounts for this.
How do you calculate a hedge ratio from futures contracts?
Multiply the notional value of one futures contract by the number of contracts, then divide that hedge value by the position value. For example, four contracts worth 100,000 each create 400,000 of hedge value. Against a 500,000 exposure, the hedge ratio is 0.80 or 80% coverage.
What is a good hedge ratio?
There is no universal good hedge ratio because the right coverage depends on the exposure, hedge objective, market view, risk tolerance, hedge cost, and contract constraints. A 100% notional hedge may fit a defensive policy, while a partial hedge can be intentional when the investor wants some upside participation or wants to limit hedging costs.
What does unhedged exposure mean?
Unhedged exposure is the part of the position value not covered by the hedge value. If a 500,000 position has a 400,000 hedge, the unhedged notional is 100,000. That amount can still gain or lose value with the underlying exposure.
Can a hedge ratio be negative?
In some option, delta-hedging, or regression contexts, a negative hedge ratio can describe hedge direction. This calculator is focused on basic notional coverage, so it expects absolute position and hedge values. Use separate trade-direction analysis to decide whether the hedge is long, short, bought, or sold.
Why can contract rounding create an over-hedge?
Many hedging instruments cannot be traded in fractional contracts. If the exact target is 4.3 contracts and the trader rounds up to 5, the notional hedge can exceed the target. The calculator shows both exact and rounded target contracts so you can see that tradeoff.
Does a 100% hedge ratio eliminate risk?
No. A 100% hedge ratio means the hedge notional matches the position notional, but it does not eliminate basis risk, liquidity risk, margin risk, model risk, or hedge-cost drag. The hedge instrument still needs to move in a sufficiently offsetting way.
How often should I recalculate the hedge ratio?
Recalculate when the position value changes, the hedge value changes, a contract is rolled, volatility shifts materially, or the hedge objective changes. Static ratios can become stale when prices move or when a futures contract approaches expiry.
Is hedge ratio the same as hedge effectiveness?
No. Hedge ratio measures notional coverage. Hedge effectiveness measures how well the hedge offsets changes in the position. Two hedges can have the same 80% hedge ratio but very different effectiveness if one tracks the exposure closely and the other has high basis risk.